This book explores the challenges small states face in navigating the complexities of modern warfare, particularly within the ambiguous Grey Zones where the boundaries between peace and conflict blur.
The book addresses the multifaceted challenges of policy, strategy, operations, and tactics, providing valuable insights into how small states can deter and manage violence. It highlights the vital role of international organizations, alliance-building, cyber operations, information warfare, lawfare, and the balance of power. Additionally, it tackles the issue of strengthening state security and fostering social cohesion in the face of Grey Zone threats. A distinctive feature of the book is the inclusion of innovative design problems developed to assist small states in navigating complex security landscapes with both practical and strategic approaches.
This book will be essential reading for security practitioners and military professionals and of great interest to students of security studies, defence studies and International Relations.
Introduction: Modern War, Grey Zones, and Security, Marzena Żakowska & David Last Introduction to Design Thinking, Archipelago of Design (AoD) SECTION I: MODERN WAR AND GREY ZONES 1: Conflicts in the Grey Zone: from Total War to War Nexus, André Simonyi 2: Environmental Insecurity and Modern Conflict, Duraid Jalili 3: Space and the Grey Zone, Pedro Miguel da Silva Costa 4: Cybersecurity in Military Systems: Risk and Mitigation, Suzana Lampreia, Victor Lobo, Valter Vairinhos 5: Markets and Grey Zone Wars, David Last 6: Violent Nonstate Actors in the Modern Conflict Environment, Tarik Solmaz Design Problem 1: Problem Finding with Divergent Thinking – Horizon Scanning and Weak Signals, Archipelago of Design (AoD) SECTION II: POLICY, STRATEGY, OPERATIONS, AND TACTICS 7: From Policy to Strategy and Tactics for the Grey Zone and Modern Wars, Jeffrey V. Gardner, Marzena Żakowska, David Last 8: Crisis Management in the Grey Zone, Ilkka Tikanmäki & Harri Ruoslahti 9: All-Hazards Intelligence in the Grey Zone and Modern War, David Last, Urszula Jaśkiewicz 10: Logistics Cooperation for Modern War, Per Skoglund Design Problem 2: Problem Finding with Convergent Thinking and the Rich Picture, Archipelago of Design (AoD) SECTION III: DETERRING AND MANAGING VIOLENCE 11: International Organizations to Manage Modern War and Grey Zones, Marzena Żakowska, David Last 12: Deterrence and Alignment for Modern Wars and the Grey Zone, Hajdi Xhixha, Arian Kadriu, David Last 13: Cyberspace Operations, Grey Zone Conflict, and Small States, Mikkel S. Jensen 14: Information War, Lawfare, and Balance of Power, Eryk Habowski, David Last Design Problem 3: Exploring Solutions with Divergent Thinking and Causal Loops, Archipelago of Design (AoD) SECTION IV: SOCIETY AND PEOPLE 15: Defending the State in Grey Zone Conflicts and Modern War, Waldemar Kitler, Malwina Kołodziejczak, David Last 16: Social Cohesion and Grey Zone Conflict, Danuta Kazmierczak & Mirosław Laskowski 17: Social Organization and Strengthening the State, Jowita Brudnicka, Marzena Żakowska, David Last Design Problem 4: Solution Evaluation with Convergent Thinking and Empathy Mapping, Archipelago of Design (AoD) Conclusion: Professional Military Education, Modern War, and Grey Zones, David Last & Marzena Żakowska Appendix: Tabular Summary of Grey Zone Threats
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