Trillions of dollars are lost annually due to corporate fraud, a growing global problem. For savvy professional investors, however, this crisis presents an opportunity. This book is the first to comprehensively explore a systematic and updated approach to identify, analyze, and profit from publicly listed companies allegedly engaged in fraudulent activities. Drawing on hands-on experience successfully uncovering corporate fraud, the author provides practical insights and guidelines supported by academic research and real-world examples. The readers will gain a deep understanding of the fraud investment process, get the building blocks to build their own framework, and develop essential tools with the end goal of executing a profitable investment strategy based on corporate fraud knowledge.
Part I - Shorting Fraud - Profiting While Maintaining Market Integrity.- 1 Introduction.- 2 The Proactive Fraud Investment Strategy.- 3 Market integrity rewards and The potential of Corporate Fraud Exposure Capital Gains.- Part II – The Corporate Fraud and The Corporate Fraudster.- 4 The Corporate Fraud.- 5 The Main types of Corporate Fraud.- 6 The Risk of Corporate Fraud.- 7 The Time dimension of Corporate Fraud.- Part III – Screening markets and companies for Corporate Fraud.- 8 Screening & Detecting the Fraudulent Publicly Listed Company.- 9 Screening abnormal Market Activity for potential fraud indicators.- 10 Screening the official Statements, Material and disclosures from Publicly listed companies.- 11 Using Statistical methods To Screen for earnings manipulation and Corporate Fraud.- 12 Machine Learning Models to Screen Financial Statements for Fraud.- 13 Lie detection Screening of the C-Suite with AI & ML.- 14 Screening Auditors- & Equity Analysts traits related to Corporate Fraud Risk.- 15 Screening other public disclosures for risk of corporate fraud.- 16 Screening for Corporate Governance Factors And Adverse Media Signals Related to Corporate Fraud.- Part IV – Deep-Dive Investigations of potential fraudulent corporations.- 17 Fraud Investigation, Deep-Dives & Due Diligence.- 18 Investigating the Company Basics.- 19 Investigating The Business Model, Products & Services.- 20 Investigating the CEO and The Executives.- 21 Investigating the Board, Stakeholders & Corporate Governance.- 22 Investigating Financial Reports From the Strategic perspective.- 23 Investigating Balance Sheet, Income Statement and Earnings Manipulation.- 24 Investigating Revenue Inflation techniques to inflate earnings.- 25 Investigating Cost suppression techniques to inflate earnings.- 26 Investigating Revenue recognition & Cost Inflation techniques to suppress earnings.- 27 Investigating Cash flow statements & Fraud Manipulation.- 28 Link & Network Investigation – connecting the dots of the fraud.- Part V – Executing the fraud short investment.- 30 Using Short Selling to Realize Corporate Fraud Exposure Capital Gains.- 31 Using Other Financial Instruments to Realize Corporate Fraud Exposure Capital Gains.- 32 Financial Instruments to capture fraud induced volatility.- 33 Publication of the Fraud Short Report – Maximizing the impact.- Part VI – Revisiting AI & ML from a Corporate Fraud Perspective.- 34 Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning & Corporate Fraud.
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